烤烟甩把等级错误率及错误去向分析

[目的]有效突破烤烟甩把技能瓶颈。[方法]采用统计分析法,对烤烟42等级在甩把考试中的出现频率、等级错误率及错误去向进行了量化分析。[结果]等级错误率以B2V最高,达到79.9%;其次为X2V(75.9%)和C2L(73.6%)。等级C2F、B4F、B3L、B4L、C3L、C4L、X3F、B3K、GY2和B3V的错误去向分别为C3F(33.4%)、B3F(15.4%)、B2L(13.4%)、B3L(20.1%)、C2L(11.3%)、C3L(18.4%)、X2F(13.4%)、B2K(10.8%)、GY1(12.4%)和B2V(10.5%),属于相邻易错等级;其中,等级B2F与B3F、C3F与C4F这2组等级互为易错,属于易混淆等级。等级C2F、C4F、C3V和CX1K的易错等级均为C3F,即C3F是甩把考试中的热点等级。[结论]该研究结果为准确找到烤烟甩把考试的疑难点提供了理论依据。     

Effects of vegetable oil supplementation on feed intake,rumen fermentation,growth performance,and carcass characteristic of growing swamp buffaloes

Fifteen, one year old swamp buffalo males with average liveweight of 200.5 ± 9.5 kg were randomly assigned according to a completely randomized design to receive three dietary treatments of supplemental vegetable oils in concentrate contained 140, 750, and 16 g of crude protein, total digestible nutrient, and ether extract, respectively (T1 = unsupplemented, T2 = supplemental coconut oil and sunflower oil in ratio 50:50 at 6% of concentrate, and T3 = supplemental sunflower oil at 6% of concentrate) during a 5-month feeding trial. Urea-treated rice straw was offered ad libitum and concentrate was supplemented at 150 g/kg BW. The results revealed that supplementation of vegetable oils decreased dry matter intake in sunflower oil supplemented group. Combination of coconut oil and sunflower oil supplementation resulted in similar average daily gain as those found in control and in sunflower oil supplemented groups. Rumen microorganism population, ammonia–nitrogen, blood urea–nitrogen and total volatile fatty acid concentrations were decreased as vegetable oils were supplemented. Oil supplementation slightly reduced growth rate, hot carcass percentage, loin eye area particularly on sunflower oil supplemented group. Based on these findings, vegetable oil resulted in decreased performance of swamp buffaloes although the combination of coconut oil and sunflower oil could reduce negative effect of unsaturated oil supplementation. However, further analyses of conjugated fatty acids (CLA) in meat could offer useful information in determining pronounced effects of vegetable oil supplementation.     

The effect of aqueous extract of gross and commercial yerba mate (Ilex paraguariensis) on intra-abdominal and epididymal fat and glucose levels in male Wistar rats

This study analyzed the plasma lipid profile, glucose levels and fat deposits in male rats treated with aqueous extract of gross yerba mate, commercial yerba mate or water. Yerba mate treatment did not change body weight gain and lipid profile. The consumption of gross yerba mate significantly increased blood glucose (6.6 mmol/L) as compared to the water (4.8 mmol/L) and commercial group (5.2 mmol/L) and decreased epididymal and intra-abdominal deposits (10.1 mg/g and 23.7 mg/g of weight) as compared to the water (15.4 mg/g and 36.9 mg/g of weight) and commercial group (12.5 mg/g and 28 mg/g of weight). The results suggest that gross yerba mate reduces fat more efficiently but produces a greater increase in blood glucose when compared to commercial yerba mate and water groups.     

Validation of a small-area method for estimating the spatial distribution of the degree of tree damage

This article presents a validation of a method, proposed in Podlaski (2003), for estimating the degree of tree damage. This method belongs to a group of small-area methods. To estimate the degree of tree damage in individual P₃ sub-blocks of the SINUS system of information on the natural environment, a classification based on the degree of defoliation was used. Spatial distribution of the degree of tree damage was estimated through unrestricted simple random sampling. The maximum total estimation error for proportions of fir and beech with a damage degree of zero, and also with second and third degrees jointly, reached a maximum of 35.6% for fir, and 33.8% for beech. P₃ sub-blocks characterised by the highest proportion of the healthiest trees (at least 15% being undamaged trees) occurred in patches in the case of fir, and in larger, compact areas in the case of beech. Because spatial diversification in the health of fir, and to a smaller degree in the case of beech, occurs at small scales, small-area methods for estimating tree condition are necessary. An analogous scheme, combining small-area with large-area methods (utilising sub-blocks of the network of large-area systems in a small-area inventory, and establishing a common database), could be used on a wider scale; for example, by supplementing the program of estimating tree health carried out by the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (Lorenz et al. 2002) with local inventories.     

林分平均胸径100倍圆法测定每公顷断面积的理论初探(之二)--误差分析与修正系数

通过对100Dg圆公式含义的分析,对影响林分断面积精度的2个主要因子:样地株数密度与林分平均胸径估测值进行了误差分析与探讨,提出了样地株数密度估计林分株数密度采用典型选样,林分平均胸径估测值采用目测法等相应解决办法。其中,当目测值有偏差时采用修正系数可使100Dg圆的可靠性进行了理论上的探讨。     

水科学中应用数理统计方法应注意

对回归方程误差的影响因素进行了分析，导出了回归方程的均方误差与其影响因素之间的关系式。分析表明，复相关系数(或相关系数)一定时，倚变量的变差系数越大，回归方程的均方误差就越大；回归分析时，应对回归方程的误差进行分析。对于样本均值估计总体均值，给出了基于误差限制的样本容量的计算式。研究表明，应考虑样本变差系数对估计精度的影响。     

农机制造企业供应链管理中的需求预测

随着经济全球化和知识经济时代的到来,我国农机企业所面临的市场竞争更为残酷。本文从建立和加强供应链管理角度出发,探讨了农机企业供应链管理中的需求预测问题,包括预测在供应链管理中的重要性和特点,影响预测的因素及预测方法分类,农机企业供应链需求预测的基本方法。     

单位线方法在沿渡河流域的应用研

单位线方法在水文计算及洪水预报中得到了广泛的应用，至今仍然是汇流计算的重要工具。以沿渡河流域为研究背景，分别采用分析法及矩法推求了该流域的时段单位线，并分别用这两种单位线模拟了该流域的同次洪水过程，模拟结果表明分析法得到的单位线更加适合该流域的洪水计算。最后，在详细分析两种方法误差来源的基础上，提出了相应的改进措施。     

机床传动误差测量中的空域法分析

从空间域的角度讨论了信号处理的一种特殊方法，介绍了它的特点，建立了空域傅氏变换数学模型，并且给出了实用效果。实践证明空域分析法应用于机床传动链一类的特殊场合是有效的。     

使用迭代重加权最小二乘法求解平面度误差

提出了几何误差评定的迭代重加权最小二乘（IRLS-Iterative Reweighted Least Squares)算法。该算法采用一个迭代过程求解一系列加权最小二乘问题，并在每一步迭代中按照一定的规则对权系数进行调整，使其逐步逼近最优拉格朗日乘子。对于用CMM(坐标测量机)和其他设备得到的数据，可得到平面度误差的精确值。